It happened in the Senate. In a debate between the leader of the Morena legislators, Adam Augusto Lopez and the president of the PAN, Marko Cortes.
The former governor of Tabasco referred to the fact that the opposition would take at least fifty years in obtaining qualified majorities to be able to change the Constitution and reverse the reforms that Morena has carried out.
It is very common among the parties that are in power, especially with the overwhelming majorities that Morena has obtained, to believe that That circumstance will last for decades.
They can only achieve this when They get rid of everything that democracy implies, such as free elections and independent State bodies.
For this reason, characters as dissimilar as Vladimir Putin, Fidel and Raúl Castro, Daniel Ortega or Nicolás Maduro, manage to remain in government for many years.
When these characters and their allies fail to eliminate the foundations of democracy, They end up leaving power sooner than they think.
When I listened to Adán Augusto López, that expression he used came to mind José Ángel Gurría in 1994, when he congratulated Ernesto Zedillo for his appointment as presidential candidate, referring to the fact that the current he represented He would last a long time in government.
The PRI He lost power just six years later.
The prospect that government control will last forever produces pride. And with it, it usually causes a myopia that prevents us from seeing reality.
Without correct information, those in government tend to make wrong decisions that end up costing them power itself.
To a large extent, in Mexico and other countries, the so-called neoliberals who imagined that we were already at ‘the end of history’ with the fall of the Soviet bloc sinned with arrogance and allowed in many places in the world anti-system movements emerged that in several places ended up taking power.
If trade liberalization, liberalization, privatization and deregulation in Mexico had been carried out ensuring that they brought with them an improvement in the standard of living of the poor strata of the population, as well as a more equitable distribution of income, Morena probably would not have come to power.
The story was different.
But, as in life, there are cycles in countries and they are inexorable.
Unlike what happened in the times of the PRI, when that party lasted just over half a century in power, these days the pendulum is moving more quickly.
Morena can be weakened by a multitude of factors. I only list some of them: an economic and financial crisis that makes social programs unviable; the internal divisions that they will occur after the leader left the presidency; the conflicts that will eventually detonate in the relationship with the United States; the loss of credibility of the narrative installed by AMLO; he legal disaster that can occur with judicial reform; the emergence of a robust opposition that offers options to the population, and adds others that we may not even imagine now.
The 50 years that they imagine maintaining the majority that ensures that the Constitution remains as it is now can be greatly shortened.
Just as very large segments of the Mexican political class jumped from their respective ships when they saw that they were already sinking and went to the only institution that assured them of coming to power, Morena, the same thing could happen to this party when it begins to show signs of cracking.
We are still far from that happening, of course.
The Morenistas hope to last long enough in government to fulfill your ambitions.
Some will grow, no doubt.
But those who believe that they will last decades will experience a fiasco sooner than they think, and then, the reforms that they have instituted today, in a surprising way, will backfire on them.
